Energy Demand Under COVID-19
Strategy I: Identify patterns by segments in time
- Segment 1: COVID-19 period is similar only to January 2nd, 2020.
- Segment 2: COVID-19 period is similar to 2020 January and February Sundays.
- Segment 3: COVID-19 period is similat to January 1st, 2nd and some 2020 January’s Sundays.
- Segment 4: COVID-19 period is similar to January vacation period and 2020 January and February Sundays.
- Segment 1: COVID-19 period is similar to first the first week of January 2019 and some 2019 hollidays.
- Segment 2: COVID-19 period is similar to 2019 Sundays.
- Segment 3: COVID-19 period is similar to 2019 Sundays.
- Segment 4: COVID-19 period is similar to January vacation period and some 2019 hollidays (Dec 25th).
Strategy II: Consider sensible external variables
Energy demand obeys to social dynamics. Therefore, it makes sense exploring correlations and the impact social activity on it.
Forecasting under COVID-19 condition
By the combination of different strategies and approaches, we are glad to present the first set of models for predicting under atypical conditions.